Signature Research Initiative

Retirement Fear Index™

Measuring what retirees fear most.

An ongoing initiative by David Conti, CPRC tracking the financial and emotional fears that shape retirement decisions — for retirees, pre-retirees, advisors, and the media that cover them.

Kabuki Fear mask — Retirement Fear Index

Methodology

How the Index is built

The Retirement Fear Index™ combines original surveys of retirees and pre-retirees with a structured review of coaching conversations, advisor interviews, and editorial signals from the broader retirement-finance landscape.

Each release reports a composite reading (0–100), the ranked Top 10 Fears, and segment breakdowns by life stage, household type, and wealth band. The Index is descriptive, not predictive — its purpose is to make visible the emotional terrain that traditional retirement plans tend to leave unmapped.

Current Reading — September 2026

September 2026 reading

The composite reading is 121.8, about 22% above the December 2025 baseline of 100. The full month-by-month commentary is published at retirementfearindex.com.

121.8
composite reading (Dec 2025 = 100)
+22%
above the long-run baseline
146
intensity: Social Security
10
master fears tracked this month

Source: retirementfearindex.com — anchored to Dec 2025 = 100, ±2-point confidence band.

Live from the source · fetched 9/9/2026, 9:18:16 AM

New readings publish early each month — worth checking on the 5th or 6th.

CalmAcute
100
Composite 121.8

The Ranking

The Ten Master Fears

Each category carries a fixed weight (its share of the total fear pie) and a monthly intensity score where 100 is baseline. Readings shown for September 2026, with the change vs. the prior month.

Critical (140+)High alert (130–139)Elevated (110–129)At baseline (100–109)Below baseline
  1. 01

    Healthcare & Long-Term Care Costs

    The largest weight in the Index — still on high alert.

    Weight
    24%
    Intensity
    130
    ▼ −1 vs. prior
  2. 02

    Outliving Savings / Longevity Risk

    On the move — longevity reframes the math toward income, not balance.

    Weight
    19%
    Intensity
    121
    ▲ +4 vs. prior
  3. 03

    Social Security & Pension Insolvency

    Critical reading — driven by policy uncertainty.

    Weight
    17%
    Intensity
    146
    ▼ −2 vs. prior
  4. 04

    Inflation & Rising Everyday Costs

    Still cooling as everyday price pressure eases.

    Weight
    11%
    Intensity
    108
    ▼ −2 vs. prior
  5. 05

    Cognitive Decline / Loss of Independence

    Plans must hold up when the planner can no longer plan.

    Weight
    7%
    Intensity
    108
    ▲ +8 vs. prior
  6. 06

    Market Volatility & Sequence-of-Returns

    One of the month's sharpest moves higher.

    Weight
    6%
    Intensity
    108
    ▲ +8 vs. prior
  7. 07

    Loss of Purpose / Identity Crisis

    Work scaffolding falls away; new sources of meaning must be built.

    Weight
    5%
    Intensity
    100
    ◆ flat vs. prior
  8. 08

    Housing Affordability & Maintenance

    Aging-in-place economics are tightening.

    Weight
    4%
    Intensity
    112
    ▲ +4 vs. prior
  9. 09

    Family Caregiving Burdens & Isolation

    Often the silent fear — and the most predictive of poor outcomes.

    Weight
    4%
    Intensity
    106
    ▼ −1 vs. prior
  10. 10

    Taxes & Regulatory Changes

    A persistent low-grade hum across every wealth band.

    Weight
    3%
    Intensity
    106
    ◆ flat vs. prior

Fifteen-month trail

Composite Index — Jul 2025 to Sep 2026

Anchored to December 2025 = 100. The line is the monthly composite of the ten master fears.

100110120Dec 2025 baseline = 100Jul '25AugSepOctNovDecJan '26FebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep121.8

What it is

A monthly composite of ten retiree-named fears, with a ±2-point confidence band and a published methodology. Anchored to December 2025 = 100.

How it works

Translates risk concepts — longevity, sequence-of-returns, inflation, policy — into human-centered emotions people can choose to act on. Built from surveys, news signal, and event triggers.

Why it matters

Name the fear, size it against everyone else, and decide what to do. About 70% of these fears can be addressed through planning and coaching. The other 30% live in a deeper place.

Full methodology & monthly data: retirementfearindex.com

White Paper

The State of Retirement Fear — 2026 Edition

A 28-page deep-dive into the data, the stories, and the implications for retirees, advisors, and policy. Free with subscription to The Retirement Fears Newsletter.

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"Retirement fears aren't irrational. They are signals. Understanding them helps us prepare, adapt, and thrive."
David Conti, CPRC

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