Signature Research Initiative
Retirement Fear Index™
Measuring what retirees fear most.
An ongoing initiative by David Conti, CPRC tracking the financial and emotional fears that shape retirement decisions — for retirees, pre-retirees, advisors, and the media that cover them.
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Methodology
How the Index is built
The Retirement Fear Index™ combines original surveys of retirees and pre-retirees with a structured review of coaching conversations, advisor interviews, and editorial signals from the broader retirement-finance landscape.
Each release reports a composite reading (0–100), the ranked Top 10 Fears, and segment breakdowns by life stage, household type, and wealth band. The Index is descriptive, not predictive — its purpose is to make visible the emotional terrain that traditional retirement plans tend to leave unmapped.
Current Reading
December — Elevated
The composite reading is 120, roughly 20% above the December 2025 baseline of 100. Social Security & Pension Insolvency (intensity 142) and Healthcare & Long-Term Care Costs (intensity 132) are the two drivers on high alert. Market Volatility sits below baseline at 92 — the quiet fear of the moment.
Source: retirementfearindex.com — anchored to Dec 2025 = 100, ±2-point confidence band.
The Ranking
The Ten Master Fears
Each category carries a fixed weight (its share of the total fear pie) and a monthly intensity score where 100 is baseline.
- 01
Healthcare & Long-Term Care Costs
The largest weight in the Index — and currently on high alert.
Weight24%Intensity132 - 02
Outliving Savings / Longevity Risk
Longevity reframes the math — income, not balance, is the metric.
Weight19%Intensity112 - 03
Social Security & Pension Insolvency
Highest intensity reading — driven by policy uncertainty.
Weight17%Intensity142 - 04
Inflation & Rising Everyday Costs
Even modest inflation reshapes a 30-year plan.
Weight11%Intensity122 - 05
Cognitive Decline / Loss of Independence
Plans must hold up when the planner can no longer plan.
Weight7%Intensity100 - 06
Market Volatility & Sequence-of-Returns
Currently below baseline — the quiet fear of the moment.
Weight6%Intensity92 - 07
Loss of Purpose / Identity Crisis
Work scaffolding falls away; new sources of meaning must be built.
Weight5%Intensity100 - 08
Housing Affordability & Maintenance
Aging-in-place economics are tightening.
Weight4%Intensity108 - 09
Family Caregiving Burdens & Isolation
Often the silent fear — and the most predictive of poor outcomes.
Weight4%Intensity105 - 10
Taxes & Regulatory Changes
A persistent low-grade hum across every wealth band.
Weight3%Intensity106
Twelve-month trail
Composite Index — last 12 months
Anchored to December 2025 = 100. The line is the monthly composite of the ten master fears.
What it is
A monthly composite of ten retiree-named fears, with a ±2-point confidence band and a published methodology. Anchored to December 2025 = 100.
How it works
Translates risk concepts — longevity, sequence-of-returns, inflation, policy — into human-centered emotions people can choose to act on. Built from surveys, news signal, and event triggers.
Why it matters
Name the fear, size it against everyone else, and decide what to do. About 70% of these fears can be addressed through planning and coaching. The other 30% live in a deeper place.
Full methodology & monthly data: retirementfearindex.com
White Paper
The State of Retirement Fear — 2026 Edition
A 28-page deep-dive into the data, the stories, and the implications for retirees, advisors, and policy. Free with subscription to The Retirement Fears Newsletter.
"Retirement fears aren't irrational. They are signals. Understanding them helps us prepare, adapt, and thrive."
Get the Retirement Fear Index Newsletter in your inbox.
Each new release, plus essays from David.